Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.3%). Look for Shore on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shore wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Jokinen 46.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 54.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 50.2%
Neutral zone
Shore 55.0%
Result
Drew Shore favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Shore
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Shore
Jokinen
Last 9: Shore 6-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
0
Shore
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Shore
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
3
1
Shore
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
45.8% (3,924)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.8% (585)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
42.9% (247)
+0.7%
On power play, Shore has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Shore is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Shore shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Shore
Jokinen
Home
47.1% (376)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
45.3% (430)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Shore
Jokinen
P1
46.1%
45.6%
P2
47.0%
47.5%
P3
45.2%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |