Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Smith 48.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 71.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 59.1%
Result
Drew Shore favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Shore
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Shore
Smith
Last 9: Shore 3-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Shore
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Shore
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shore
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
49.0% (769)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
63.6% (22)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
42.4% (118)
+1.2%
On power play, Smith has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Shore is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Shore shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Shore
Smith
Home
47.1% (376)
52.4% (490)
Away
45.3% (430)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Shore
Smith
P1
46.1%
46.9%
P2
47.0%
51.2%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |