Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stafford shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 47.9% vs Stafford 50.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 66.0%
Defensive zone
Eakin 79.1%
Neutral zone
Eakin 55.9%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Eakin
Stafford
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eakin
Stafford
Last 8: Eakin 2-6 Stafford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
0
3
Eakin
Stafford
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
3
Eakin
Stafford
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Stafford
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (980)
51.5% (68)
-2.7%
Power Play
38.6% (83)
42.9% (7)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (125)
50.0% (26)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stafford has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stafford shoots right. Eakin is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Eakin shoots left. Stafford is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Eakin
Stafford
Home
49.5% (582)
49.1% (53)
Away
46.0% (606)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Eakin
Stafford
P1
45.7%
48.3%
P2
49.6%
46.7%
P3
48.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
46.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
47.7%
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |