Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 70.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Stafford
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stafford
Thompson
Last 7: Stafford 6-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
5
1
Stafford
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
1
0
Stafford
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
54.8% (135)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
47.9% (1,381)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Stafford shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Stafford
Thompson
Home
50.4% (452)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
45.9% (388)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Stafford
Thompson
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
52.9%
P3
47.9%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |