Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 49.6% vs Thompson 52.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Stafford
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stafford
Thompson
Last 5: Stafford 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
3
1
Stafford
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
1
0
Stafford
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (100)
54.4% (870)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
45.8% (24)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
45.1% (162)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stafford is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Stafford shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Stafford
Thompson
Home
53.9% (102)
55.3% (510)
Away
43.1% (72)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Stafford
Thompson
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
51.6%
52.2%
P3
47.2%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |