Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 51.1% vs Berglund 48.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 54.4%
Defensive zone
Berglund 67.9%
Neutral zone
Stafford 51.3%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Stafford
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stafford
Berglund
Last 5: Stafford 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
1
0
Stafford
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
1
0
Stafford
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (58)
48.3% (895)
+5.1%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
50.4% (141)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
48.3% (120)
-31.6%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Stafford is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Stafford shoots right. Berglund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Stafford
Berglund
Home
58.7% (46)
50.9% (593)
Away
45.0% (40)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Stafford
Berglund
P1
42.3%
50.9%
P2
63.6%
45.3%
P3
43.5%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |