Drew Stafford vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Stafford 2-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
5
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
0
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
44.9% (8,714)
+5.2%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
50.3% (829)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
37.8% (875)
-3.6%
On even strength, Stafford has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Stafford shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.4% (452)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
45.9% (388)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Stafford
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
45.1%
P2
47.5%
43.8%
P3
47.9%
45.2%
OT
42.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |