Scouting Report
Dustin Penner holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Penner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 41.5% vs Penner 43.3% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Penner 60.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 56.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.8%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Brown
Penner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Penner
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (198)
40.7% (214)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
45.5% (112)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (39)
36.7% (60)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Penner has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Penner shoots left. Brown is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Brown shoots right. Penner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Brown
Penner
Home
38.6% (145)
44.4% (207)
Away
38.3% (141)
38.3% (183)
By Period
Brown
Penner
P1
34.3%
36.1%
P2
37.6%
36.6%
P3
45.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
36.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
28.0%▼
36.0%
38.5%
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%