Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 41.5% vs Carlsson 41.1% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 53.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Brown
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (198)
40.9% (1,878)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
42.9% (156)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (39)
34.7% (121)
-1.4%
On power play, Brown has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Brown is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Brown shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Brown
Carlsson
Home
38.6% (145)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
38.3% (141)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Brown
Carlsson
P1
34.3%
43.3%
P2
37.6%
36.2%
P3
45.5%
43.3%
Final 5 min
36.2%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
28.0%▼
36.0%
38.5%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%