Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.5% vs 38.2%). Brown wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 41.5% vs Joseph 40.7% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 62.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 58.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.5%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Brown
Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (198)
37.2% (336)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
57.1% (7)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (39)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Brown is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Brown shoots right. Joseph is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Brown
Joseph
Home
38.6% (145)
38.8% (183)
Away
38.3% (141)
37.6% (181)
By Period
Brown
Joseph
P1
34.3%
36.2%
P2
37.6%
28.8%
P3
45.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
36.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
28.0%▼
36.0%
38.5%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.2%