Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Skinner 44.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 93.2%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 79.7%
Neutral zone
Skinner 58.0%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Jeffrey
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jeffrey
Skinner
Last 5: Jeffrey 2-3 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
3
Jeffrey
Skinner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
42.3% (1,317)
+5.2%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
52.0% (404)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
33.3% (15)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jeffrey shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Skinner
Home
49.0% (390)
48.2% (949)
Away
46.4% (455)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Jeffrey
Skinner
P1
46.4%
41.6%
P2
48.1%
46.0%
P3
48.0%
46.4%
OT
57.1%
23.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |