Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 45.8% vs Hecht 43.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 67.7%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 61.3%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 66.6%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Jeffrey
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jeffrey
Hecht
Last 6: Jeffrey 4-2 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
0
2
Jeffrey
Hecht
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
4
0
Jeffrey
Hecht
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (207)
41.8% (558)
+4.1%
Power Play
26.9% (26)
44.4% (72)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.3% (93)
-4.4%
On power play, Hecht has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Jeffrey is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jeffrey shoots left. Hecht is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Hecht
Home
45.7% (116)
44.7% (356)
Away
42.7% (131)
41.6% (373)
By Period
Jeffrey
Hecht
P1
42.5%
41.9%
P2
48.4%
45.0%
P3
39.7%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
44.1%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |