Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.8% vs Thompson 50.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 75.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 57.2%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Jeffrey
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jeffrey
Thompson
Last 5: Jeffrey 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Jeffrey
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Jeffrey
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Jeffrey
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (105)
52.2% (785)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
42.9% (14)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.7% (175)
-5.7%
On power play, Jeffrey has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jeffrey is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Jeffrey shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Thompson
Home
60.4% (48)
54.1% (475)
Away
38.8% (67)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Jeffrey
Thompson
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
45.0%
49.5%
P3
53.1%
54.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |