Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 61.8%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 56.1%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Jeffrey
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jeffrey
Kesler
Last 7: Jeffrey 3-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Jeffrey
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.9%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
60.7% (1,437)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
50.5% (1,908)
+5.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Jeffrey shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Kesler
Home
49.0% (390)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.4% (455)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Jeffrey
Kesler
P1
46.4%
56.5%
P2
48.1%
55.9%
P3
48.0%
56.1%
OT
57.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |