Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Jeffrey wins 65.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 53.8% vs Horcoff 51.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 65.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 65.0%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 53.6%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Jeffrey
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jeffrey
Horcoff
Last 7: Jeffrey 4-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
0
Jeffrey
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Jeffrey
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jeffrey
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (52)
51.2% (537)
+10.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
66.7% (15)
-16.7%
On power play, Horcoff has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Jeffrey is 65.4% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Jeffrey shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Horcoff
Home
62.5% (24)
52.5% (343)
Away
58.8% (34)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Jeffrey
Horcoff
P1
52.2%
48.2%
P2
72.2%
52.2%
P3
58.8%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |