Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.2%). Look for Jeffrey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jeffrey leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 53.2%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 61.5%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 61.4%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Jeffrey
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Jeffrey
Connolly
Last 10: Jeffrey 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
0
Jeffrey
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
4
1
Jeffrey
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
4
Jeffrey
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
47.4% (1,307)
+0.1%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
50.2% (251)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
41.9% (186)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Jeffrey shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Connolly
Home
49.0% (390)
48.5% (870)
Away
46.4% (455)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Jeffrey
Connolly
P1
46.4%
47.4%
P2
48.1%
47.7%
P3
48.0%
47.0%
OT
57.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |