Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jeffrey wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 45.8% vs Connolly 46.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 53.7%
Defensive zone
Connolly 51.4%
Neutral zone
Connolly 51.4%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Jeffrey
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jeffrey
Connolly
Last 6: Jeffrey 2-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Connolly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
4
Jeffrey
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (207)
47.0% (702)
-1.1%
Power Play
26.9% (26)
49.7% (165)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
29.9% (97)
+13.0%
On power play, Connolly has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Jeffrey is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Jeffrey shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Connolly
Home
45.7% (116)
46.7% (512)
Away
42.7% (131)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Jeffrey
Connolly
P1
42.5%
46.5%
P2
48.4%
47.5%
P3
39.7%
44.0%
OT
66.7%
40.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
44.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |