Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Jeffrey leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 75.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 70.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 64.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Jeffrey
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Jeffrey
Bozak
Last 10: Jeffrey 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
2
Jeffrey
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
6
3
Jeffrey
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Jeffrey
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
53.7% (9,596)
-6.2%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
55.2% (1,990)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
48.0% (1,094)
+7.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Jeffrey shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Bozak
Home
49.0% (390)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
46.4% (455)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jeffrey
Bozak
P1
46.4%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
52.8%
P3
48.0%
54.5%
OT
57.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |