Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jeffrey wins 65.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 53.8% vs Smith 51.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 75.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.5%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 74.2%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Jeffrey
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jeffrey
Smith
Last 5: Jeffrey 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Jeffrey
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
0
Jeffrey
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (52)
53.6% (550)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
53.5% (71)
-3.5%
On even strength, Jeffrey has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jeffrey is 65.4% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Jeffrey shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Smith
Home
62.5% (24)
56.5% (352)
Away
58.8% (34)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Jeffrey
Smith
P1
52.2%
52.0%
P2
72.2%
51.5%
P3
58.8%
52.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |