Dustin Penner vs Jonathan Toews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Toews 57.8% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 80.0%
Defensive zone
Penner 74.1%
Neutral zone
Penner 78.4%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Penner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Penner
Toews
Last 7: Penner 2-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Penner
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Penner
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Penner
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
57.1% (12,906)
-16.4%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
63.2% (3,220)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
53.6% (1,808)
-16.9%
On power play, Toews has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,532).
Home / Away
Penner
Toews
Home
44.4% (207)
59.6% (9,086)
Away
38.3% (183)
56.1% (8,879)
By Period
Penner
Toews
P1
36.1%
58.7%
P2
36.6%
57.7%
P3
53.6%
57.2%
OT
25.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |