Dustin Penner vs Jonathan Toews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 81.9%
Defensive zone
Penner 76.4%
Neutral zone
Penner 80.4%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Penner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Penner
Toews
Last 7: Penner 2-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Penner
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Penner
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Penner
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
57.2% (13,047)
-16.5%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
63.3% (3,252)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
53.6% (1,810)
-16.9%
On power play, Toews has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Penner
Toews
Home
44.4% (207)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
38.3% (183)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Penner
Toews
P1
36.1%
58.6%
P2
36.6%
57.8%
P3
53.6%
57.3%
OT
25.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |