Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Penner 63.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 54.7%
Neutral zone
Penner 56.1%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Penner
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Penner
Hanzal
Last 10: Penner 5-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
2
0
Penner
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Penner
Hanzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
3
Penner
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
54.0% (5,547)
-13.3%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
56.7% (1,179)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
46.0% (644)
-9.3%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Penner
Hanzal
Home
44.4% (207)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
38.3% (183)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Penner
Hanzal
P1
36.1%
54.9%
P2
36.6%
53.6%
P3
53.6%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |