Scouting Report
Dustin Penner holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Gregor 40.3% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Penner 52.0%
Defensive zone
Penner 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gregor 50.4%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Penner
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
36.7% (196)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
23.1% (13)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
0.0% (1)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Penner has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Penner
Gregor
Home
44.4% (207)
35.4% (113)
Away
38.3% (183)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Penner
Gregor
P1
36.1%
36.9%
P2
36.6%
28.4%
P3
53.6%
44.4%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%