Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Penner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Penner leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 59.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 84.9%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 71.1%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Penner
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Penner
Getzlaf
Last 10: Penner 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
5
2
Penner
Getzlaf
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Penner
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
4
Penner
Getzlaf
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
49.6% (10,258)
-8.9%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
54.9% (1,381)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
44.8% (1,055)
-8.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Penner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Penner shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Penner
Getzlaf
Home
44.4% (207)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
38.3% (183)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Penner
Getzlaf
P1
36.1%
49.2%
P2
36.6%
50.4%
P3
53.6%
49.7%
OT
25.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | OT | 03:19 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |