Dustin Penner vs Samuel Pahlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 55.7%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 96.3%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 79.9%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Penner
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Penner
Pahlsson
Last 8: Penner 5-3 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
4
1
Penner
Pahlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
2
Penner
Pahlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
53.0% (1,716)
-12.3%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
60.0% (35)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
49.8% (548)
-13.1%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Penner
Pahlsson
Home
44.4% (207)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
38.3% (183)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Penner
Pahlsson
P1
36.1%
54.6%
P2
36.6%
50.7%
P3
53.6%
51.8%
OT
25.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |