Scouting Report
Tim Sestito holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Sestito 46.0% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Penner 65.5%
Defensive zone
Sestito 69.3%
Neutral zone
Sestito 51.8%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Penner
Sestito
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
45.7% (457)
-5.0%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
55.6% (9)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
34.2% (38)
+2.5%
On power play, Sestito has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Penner
Sestito
Home
44.4% (207)
48.0% (273)
Away
38.3% (183)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Penner
Sestito
P1
36.1%
42.5%
P2
36.6%
42.1%
P3
53.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%