Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Marchant 48.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 84.3%
Defensive zone
Marchant 66.6%
Neutral zone
Penner 61.4%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Penner
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Penner
Marchant
Last 6: Penner 2-4 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Penner
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
3
Penner
Marchant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Penner
1
0
Penner
Marchant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
50.5% (368)
-9.8%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
28.6% (7)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
42.4% (158)
-5.7%
On power play, Penner has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Penner
Marchant
Home
44.4% (207)
50.3% (302)
Away
38.3% (183)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Penner
Marchant
P1
36.1%
46.3%
P2
36.6%
49.7%
P3
53.6%
48.1%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |