Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Thorburn
Cozens
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
48.9% (4,075)
+6.9%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
50.4% (714)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
41.0% (439)
+1.9%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Thorburn is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Thorburn shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Cozens
Home
55.7% (305)
48.2% (2,677)
Away
51.3% (308)
48.6% (2,551)
By Period
Thorburn
Cozens
P1
54.9%
49.1%
P2
55.1%
47.7%
P3
51.1%
48.8%
OT
20.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%