Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 54.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Cozens
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Cozens
Bonino
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Cozens
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
6
Cozens
Bonino
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Cozens
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
54.1% (972)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bonino
Home
48.2% (2,677)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Cozens
Bonino
P1
49.1%
50.6%
P2
47.7%
48.5%
P3
48.8%
51.1%
OT
34.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |