Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Connolly 47.3% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cozens
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
47.4% (1,307)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
50.2% (251)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
41.9% (186)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Cozens
Connolly
Home
48.2% (2,677)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Cozens
Connolly
P1
49.1%
47.4%
P2
47.7%
47.7%
P3
48.8%
47.0%
OT
34.3%
37.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%