Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Keller 48.9% vs Gambrell 44.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Keller 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 82.6%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 65.8%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Keller
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Keller
Gambrell
Last 5: Keller 1-4 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
2
Keller
Gambrell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
2
Keller
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Keller
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (31)
44.6% (500)
+3.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
37.5% (8)
+2.5%
On even strength, Keller has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Keller is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Keller shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Keller
Gambrell
Home
61.9% (21)
41.6% (363)
Away
30.0% (20)
46.7% (274)
By Period
Keller
Gambrell
P1
42.9%
42.2%
P2
53.3%
46.2%
P3
41.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Keller
36.0%▼
40.0%
46.3%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Clayton Keller |