Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Thornton 54.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 95.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 63.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 89.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Gambrell
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gambrell
Thornton
Last 5: Gambrell 4-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gambrell
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
0
Gambrell
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
53.5% (6,640)
-6.1%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
57.2% (1,387)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
56.7% (427)
-16.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Thornton
Home
44.3% (994)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.1% (980)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Gambrell
Thornton
P1
44.3%
55.0%
P2
49.8%
53.3%
P3
44.5%
54.4%
OT
12.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |