Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gambrell wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Larsson 48.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 55.2%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 54.7%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 54.6%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Gambrell
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Gambrell
Larsson
Last 10: Gambrell 4-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Gambrell
Larsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gambrell
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
5
Gambrell
Larsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
50.2% (504)
-5.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
33.3% (9)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
41.7% (96)
-0.6%
On even strength, Larsson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Gambrell shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Larsson
Home
41.6% (363)
48.2% (272)
Away
46.7% (274)
49.0% (337)
By Period
Gambrell
Larsson
P1
42.2%
48.6%
P2
46.2%
56.1%
P3
43.8%
41.0%
OT
14.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |