Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 67.0%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 57.2%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Gambrell
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Gambrell
Roy
Last 10: Gambrell 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
Gambrell
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
5
1
Gambrell
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
9
Gambrell
Roy
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
49.5% (283)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
45.5% (477)
-5.1%
On power play, Roy has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gambrell is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (540).
Gambrell shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Roy
Home
44.3% (994)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.1% (980)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Gambrell
Roy
P1
44.3%
50.8%
P2
49.8%
46.3%
P3
44.5%
48.1%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |