Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Roy 46.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 58.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 74.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Gambrell
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Gambrell
Roy
Last 10: Gambrell 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Gambrell
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
1
Gambrell
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
7
Gambrell
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
41.5% (275)
+3.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
81.8% (11)
-44.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
61.3% (31)
-20.2%
On power play, Roy has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gambrell is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Gambrell shoots right. Roy is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Roy
Home
41.6% (363)
46.1% (167)
Away
46.7% (274)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Gambrell
Roy
P1
42.2%
46.7%
P2
46.2%
38.5%
P3
43.8%
50.5%
Final 5 min
39.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |