Scouting Report
Dylan Gambrell holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.8% vs Zacha 44.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 50.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Gambrell
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gambrell
Zacha
Last 5: Gambrell 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Gambrell
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Gambrell
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (303)
42.8% (514)
+3.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
51.9% (79)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
36.1% (61)
+12.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Gambrell shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Zacha
Home
42.6% (188)
45.0% (289)
Away
49.5% (182)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Gambrell
Zacha
P1
46.1%
47.4%
P2
53.5%
43.8%
P3
37.5%
37.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |