Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Carrick 50.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 70.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 60.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 64.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Gambrell
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gambrell
Carrick
Last 9: Gambrell 5-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Gambrell
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
4
2
Gambrell
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
51.9% (54)
-7.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
66.7% (6)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
33.3% (3)
+7.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gambrell is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Gambrell shoots right. Carrick is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Carrick
Home
41.6% (363)
48.7% (39)
Away
46.7% (274)
58.3% (24)
By Period
Gambrell
Carrick
P1
42.2%
68.2%
P2
46.2%
52.6%
P3
43.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |