Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 54.1%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 86.4%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 69.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Gambrell
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Gambrell
Steel
Last 10: Gambrell 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Gambrell
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
1
Gambrell
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
9
Gambrell
Steel
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
50.6% (2,876)
-3.2%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
62.6% (179)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
37.4% (254)
+3.0%
On power play, Steel has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Steel
Home
44.3% (994)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.1% (980)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Gambrell
Steel
P1
44.3%
51.9%
P2
49.8%
49.5%
P3
44.5%
49.6%
OT
12.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Sam Steel |