Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Gambrell wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Steel 52.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 81.1%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 90.6%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 85.5%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Gambrell
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Gambrell
Steel
Last 10: Gambrell 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Gambrell
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
1
Gambrell
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
7
Gambrell
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
51.6% (401)
-7.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
66.7% (39)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
44.4% (9)
-3.3%
On power play, Steel has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Gambrell shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Steel
Home
41.6% (363)
55.8% (206)
Away
46.7% (274)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Gambrell
Steel
P1
42.2%
57.0%
P2
46.2%
50.7%
P3
43.8%
51.0%
OT
14.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |