Scouting Report
Steve Downie holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 46.2% vs Downie 47.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Holloway 51.0%
Defensive zone
Downie 52.5%
Neutral zone
Holloway 57.0%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Holloway
Downie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (262)
48.1% (131)
-3.1%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
43.7% (71)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Holloway is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Holloway shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Holloway
Downie
Home
50.7% (148)
49.5% (93)
Away
39.9% (163)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Holloway
Downie
P1
40.9%
41.8%
P2
37.9%
38.6%
P3
55.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
45.0%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%