Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 50.6% vs Larkin 52.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 56.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 51.4%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Last 5: Galchenyuk 2-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Galchenyuk
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (112)
51.0% (973)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
59.5% (252)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
49.6% (137)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Galchenyuk is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Home
43.9% (57)
54.9% (721)
Away
56.8% (74)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Larkin
P1
43.6%
52.4%
P2
59.6%
50.8%
P3
47.7%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |