Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Texier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Texier wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Texier 44.8% vs Larkin 52.3% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 89.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 84.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 85.3%
14.7%
85.3%
Texier
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Texier
Larkin
Last 5: Texier 4-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Texier
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Texier
4
0
Texier
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Texier
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (62)
51.0% (973)
-13.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.5% (252)
-59.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Texier is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Texier shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Texier
Larkin
Home
34.6% (26)
54.9% (721)
Away
37.8% (37)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Texier
Larkin
P1
21.1%
52.4%
P2
50.0%
50.8%
P3
33.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Texier
28.0%▼
31.0%
36.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |