Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs Larkin 54.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.0%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 94.9%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 70.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Dubinsky
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dubinsky
Larkin
Last 7: Dubinsky 6-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Dubinsky
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
0
Dubinsky
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
0
Dubinsky
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
52.9% (1,228)
+6.6%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
63.1% (214)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
55.2% (145)
-7.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Larkin
Home
58.0% (383)
55.8% (805)
Away
56.2% (365)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Dubinsky
Larkin
P1
58.3%
55.2%
P2
57.8%
53.3%
P3
55.8%
55.1%
OT
25.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |