Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs Larkin 52.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 85.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 68.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Sutter
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sutter
Larkin
Last 5: Sutter 0-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
4
Sutter
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Sutter
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
51.0% (973)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
59.5% (252)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (78)
49.6% (137)
-3.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Sutter shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Sutter
Larkin
Home
46.6% (178)
54.9% (721)
Away
51.0% (200)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Sutter
Larkin
P1
43.5%
52.4%
P2
51.7%
50.8%
P3
52.4%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |