Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Larkin 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 65.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 63.4%
Neutral zone
Rowney 69.1%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Rowney
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rowney
Larkin
Last 5: Rowney 1-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Rowney
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Rowney
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
52.9% (1,228)
-3.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
63.1% (214)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
55.2% (145)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Rowney
Larkin
Home
51.0% (143)
55.8% (805)
Away
48.0% (204)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Rowney
Larkin
P1
49.6%
55.2%
P2
47.7%
53.3%
P3
50.9%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |