Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Larsson 49.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Larkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
19
(49 meetings)
30
19
Larkin
Larsson
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
5
Larkin
Larsson
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
8
Larkin
Larsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
6
Larkin
Larsson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.5% (4,382)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
47.7% (153)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.8% (714)
+6.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Larkin
Larsson
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Larkin
Larsson
P1
52.7%
51.6%
P2
53.1%
49.7%
P3
52.1%
47.2%
OT
58.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |