Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Larsson 49.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Larkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Larkin
Larsson
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Larkin
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
2
Larkin
Larsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
48.9% (501)
-3.4%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
50.0% (6)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.0% (26)
+0.0%
On power play, Larsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Larkin shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Larkin
Larsson
Home
47.0% (181)
51.7% (265)
Away
44.2% (251)
46.3% (268)
By Period
Larkin
Larsson
P1
42.7%
58.8%
P2
52.4%
44.1%
P3
41.8%
44.0%
OT
20.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |