Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Martinook 48.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Larkin
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Martinook
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Martinook
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
49.1% (53)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
100.0% (1)
-41.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
20.0% (10)
+28.2%
On power play, Martinook has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Martinook is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Larkin
Martinook
Home
52.4% (647)
48.4% (31)
Away
52.7% (643)
42.4% (33)
By Period
Larkin
Martinook
P1
52.2%
34.5%
P2
53.1%
68.4%
P3
51.7%
40.0%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |