Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Martinook 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Larkin
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larkin
Martinook
Last 8: Larkin 4-4 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Martinook
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Martinook
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Martinook
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
51.2% (127)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
40.0% (5)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
32.4% (34)
+8.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Martinook is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Larkin
Martinook
Home
48.5% (388)
47.6% (63)
Away
50.6% (342)
46.6% (103)
By Period
Larkin
Martinook
P1
52.1%
41.0%
P2
46.9%
47.1%
P3
49.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |