Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Weal 49.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Larkin
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Weal
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Weal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Larkin
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
43.8% (130)
+7.2%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
60.7% (61)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
100.0% (2)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, Weal has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Weal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Larkin
Weal
Home
54.9% (721)
53.6% (97)
Away
49.6% (641)
45.8% (96)
By Period
Larkin
Weal
P1
52.4%
46.3%
P2
50.8%
50.6%
P3
54.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |