Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Turris 50.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 59.1%
Defensive zone
Turris 56.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 59.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Larkin
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Larkin
Turris
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
4
6
Larkin
Turris
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
8
Larkin
Turris
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.2% (7,653)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.4% (1,312)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
48.6% (580)
+1.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Larkin
Turris
Home
54.0% (6,238)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Larkin
Turris
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
50.8%
P3
52.1%
48.4%
OT
58.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |